AI Trend Reports & Explainers

Evidence Before Predictions

Technology produces confident forecasts long before enough evidence exists to know which forecasts will prove correct.

Trend Reports distinguish between:

• developments that have already happened;
• findings supported by research or measurable data;
• reasonable interpretations of that evidence;
• forecasts about what may happen next.

Predictions are identified as predictions rather than presented as established facts.

Primary Sources When Possible

Important claims should lead back to the research, government publication, technical documentation, dataset, or organization responsible for the information.

Secondary reporting can provide useful context, but readers should be able to find the underlying evidence behind major claims.

Competing Perspectives

Emerging technologies rarely produce simple answers.

A productivity improvement for a company may create a difficult transition for a worker. A technology that lowers the cost of creating something may simultaneously disrupt the people who previously produced it. A powerful new capability can create both useful applications and new risks.

Trend Reports examine those tensions rather than forcing every issue into a simple “good” or “bad” conclusion.

Designed to Be Updated

The subjects covered here are changing rapidly.

Reports include an updated date and can be revised when significant new research, regulations, technologies, or other developments change what we know.